As a little update, we went from 6-10" of ice to open water in 24 hours two weeks ago. The dew point was 50 degrees (February?!?!?) and I could hear the ice melting as the wind blew across it. The surface of the pond is elevated and not sheltered from the wind, so it goes fast. It sounded like popcorn as the trapped gasses came out.
Skating season is over.