I'm just hoping it doesn't get cold enough to lock the ponds up about 2", THEN snow on top of that....Snow on top of ice really puts the brakes on any further ice development, and I'm ready for some hard water fishing asap..

"Forget pounds and ounces, I'm figuring displacement!"

If we accept that: MBG(+)FGSF(=)HBG(F1)
And we surmise that: BG(>)HBG(F1) while GSF(<)HBG(F1)
Would it hold true that: HBG(F1)(+)AM500(x)q.d.(=)1.5lbGRWT?
PB answer: It depends.