Be prepared ! Flooding is the biggest killer in hurricanes. Unfortunately some people take stupid risks and cause others like CJ to have to risk their lives to bail them out. Take care , be smart and God's speed to all that may be effected.

Update :

Center fixes from the aircraft overnight and this morning indicate
that the expected north-northwestward turn has occurred. A
northward turn is expected tonight or early Friday as Irene moves
through a break in the subtropical ridge. A mid/upper-level trough
moving through the Great Lakes region is expected to then turn
Irene toward the north-northeast in a couple of days. This trough
is forecast to bypass Irene...leaving the hurricane in deep
southerly flow between a trough over the central United States and
a building ridge over the Atlantic. This pattern will likely keep
the hurricane very near the East Coast of the United States. The
guidance envelope has shifted a little westward on this cycle...and
the new official track has been nudged west as well. The new
forecast lies between the GFS and ECMWF...and is a little right of
the tvca consensus. Since Irene is such a large tropical
cyclone...significant impacts are likely along the United States
East Coast regardless of the exact track it takes.


Last edited by ewest; 08/25/11 11:30 AM.