Cecil had a birds eye view of this recently , but I've observed pier pilings/pipes with open water around them in close proximity even with enough ice on the BOW to safely support a person on warmer, sunny days.

You're right, shearing 10 sq. ft. of ice would be very difficult.

Have you found any reference to how much ice will uplift due to freezing if it has water under it?

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3/4 to 1 1/4 ac pond LMB, SMB, PS, BG, RES, CC, YP, Bardello BG, (RBT & Blue Tilapia - seasonal).