Originally Posted by Zep
If COVID death rate was really in the 25% range there would be hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US alone. I don't know of any experts now predicting several hundred thousand deaths in the US.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/


The NHME at U Wash is predicting ~72,000 deaths by August. However, this model doesn't include states reopening.

The Wharton School of Business puts the upper bound at 300,000 deaths by the end of June if states reopen. There is an interactive graphic where you can see the impact of various policies on state economies and projected deaths: https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2020/5/1/coronavirus-reopening-simulator

Last edited by Bocomo; 05/03/20 11:48 PM.
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