We received exactly 1.0" since yesterday afternoon. It stopped drizzling by about 9:30 this morning. Zero run off from this rain. Before this rain, the ponds had equalled their all time lows since first fill. They are about an inch above that now. The last rain that had "run off" was July 18.
BTW, the forecast always has a "wet bias".
Quote attributed to TWC:
"According to Silver, The Weather Channel has openly admitted to deliberately exaggerating the probability of precipitation when it is low. This is because of biased incentives: if the correct low probability of precipitation is given, viewers may interpret the forecast as if there were no probability of rain, and then be upset if it does rain. In other words, The Weather Channel compensates for the people that have greater loss aversion than they think they do, and therefore miscalculate their cost-loss ratio when it is low, by deliberately inflating probabilities. Silver quotes Dr. Rose of The Weather Channel as saying, "If the forecast was objective, if it has zero bias in precipitation, we are in trouble."
Last edited by John Fitzgerald; 10/10/18 12:36 PM.
