Hi all. So I am looking at buying a 6-acre pond that is classified as Low Hazard damn by the state. They are planning to re-assess hazards this coming year and I may pass on it if its obviously going to be put into a higher category. I know there was a house built downstream after it was first rated.

Is there simple damn-break inundation model or approach to estimate flood hazard on dam break based on 1 or 2ft topo maps, height of dam, and volume? its an 8 foot dam, 17 acre-ft storage I think. I realize that an engineering firm would do this, but im looking back of the envelop at this stage. I attached a topo map with 2ft lines- do those houses look obviously at risk? Yes, I know no one can know for sure... no one is getting sued. Just looking for opinions.

In the map, the front parcel with the outflow is 10 acres.

Attached Images
topo.PNG
Last edited by JimNY; 12/18/19 05:19 PM.